Oil Is Tumbling Amid Oversupply Fears

Oil Is Tumbling Amid Oversupply Fears

Despite optimism from Chinese data overnight, forecasts for lower OPEC+ output, and a weaker dollar, oil prices are tumbling this morning with WTI back below $64.50…

Some have suggested the drop is due to investors also considering the potential impact of higher taxes and how that could affect corporate profit growth. President Joe Biden is planning the first major federal tax hike since 1993 to help pay for a long-term economic program, according to people familiar with the matter. The White House is expected to propose a suite of tax increases, mostly mirroring Biden’s 2020 campaign proposals, according to four people familiar with the discussions.

“The behaviour today, when no market moving news has emerged, could indicate that oil above $70 is now viewed as a take-profit area,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodities strategy at Saxo Bank.

We do note that as prices tumble ‘mysteriously’, that WTI swap dealer shorts are at their highest since 2018…

And WTI’s nearest timespread flipped into a bearish contango structure – signaling oversupply – after stockpiles in the U.S. grew in recent weeks.

The silver lining, if this trend reversal holds, is we may avoid $3.000 gas at the pump becoming the norm.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 03/15/2021 – 10:08

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